Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.050673 2.360366 2.694950 3.082537 3.518370 3.992508 4.546536
2024-10-06 1.659729 2.109796 2.638403 3.301470 4.107029 5.049808 6.232188
2024-10-13 1.344242 1.867405 2.528916 3.417886 4.571149 6.005502 7.911601
2024-10-20 1.075133 1.620300 2.357343 3.410542 4.857681 6.754377 9.401901
2024-10-27 0.902516 1.463421 2.268230 3.481760 5.233880 7.634905 11.127664
2024-11-03 0.766916 1.330764 2.185181 3.537687 5.578731 8.487715 12.874602
2024-11-10 0.649155 1.201580 2.082946 3.542767 5.837260 9.226531 14.506517
2024-11-17 0.545115 1.074352 1.961667 3.496053 6.001825 9.828470 15.971314
2024-11-24 0.454619 0.953009 1.829981 3.410725 6.088029 10.307075 17.272650
2024-12-01 0.395274 0.877067 1.763099 3.421178 6.322524 11.023740 18.979554
2024-12-08 0.340980 0.800497 1.683087 3.396143 6.489484 11.637208 20.555762
2024-12-15 0.308312 0.761457 1.666195 3.479804 6.846196 12.579650 22.716747
2024-12-22 0.274457 0.715927 1.634646 3.540307 7.181453 13.534626 25.006550
2024-12-29 0.256991 0.704098 1.669553 3.733516 7.778420 14.986161 28.240648
2025-01-05 0.233139 0.672859 1.659954 3.837627 8.218823 16.196519 31.143011
2025-01-12 0.202638 0.618972 1.593656 3.817690 8.418717 16.990299 33.367150
2025-01-19 0.182791 0.588002 1.573368 3.890762 8.805330 18.147718 36.307315
2025-01-26 0.164471 0.557084 1.548366 3.949809 9.167119 19.280692 39.268179
2025-02-02 0.145358 0.519530 1.501634 3.954190 9.415024 20.211829 41.908809
2025-02-09 0.125966 0.476397 1.434162 3.902171 9.537605 20.906296 44.142910
2025-02-16 0.107425 0.431027 1.353352 3.807908 9.558470 21.398664 46.016168
2025-02-23 0.095654 0.404560 1.318218 3.819307 9.811185 22.367808 48.861610
2025-03-02 0.083945 0.375118 1.269984 3.791670 9.972042 23.157568 51.394750